Big Pine, California Weather Forecast Discussion

603
FXUS65 KVEF 302121
AFDVEF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
222 PM PDT Tue Sep 30 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
* A series of disturbances will roll through the Western US this
  week, bringing precipitation chances to the southern Great Basin
  and dry, breezy conditions elsewhere.
.DISCUSSION...through Monday.
Late-morning satellite imagery continues to show a broad swath of
mid- and high-level clouds associated with a shortwave trough across
eastern Nevada and northwest Arizona. A few isolated showers and
embedded thunderstorms are also noted across far northern Lincoln
County, but this activity should move north and east of the area
over the next few hours. Elsewhere, dry conditions will continue
with breezy afternoons persisting through mid-week. Temperatures
will remain near seasonable values until late in the week when the
next system approaches. Model guidance continues to come into better
agreement regarding the timing and strength of the shortwave, most
likely arriving on Friday. Similar to today`s system, late-week
precipitation chances (20 to 40 percent) appear to be largely
confined to the Sierra and southern Great Basin. However, the wind
and temperature response should be more robust, with widespread
gusts of 20 to 40 mph on Friday and temperatures falling 4 to 8
degrees below normal over the weekend. Ensemble guidance suggests
troughing will linger over the western US into next week, keeping
temperatures seasonably cool and breezes elevated.
&&
.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 00Z Forecast Package...
Southwest winds with occasional gusts of 22 to 25 knots will
continue into this evening before gradually decreasing around
sunset. Winds will remain southwesterly overnight, but speeds will
fall below 8 knots. Similar conditions are expected tomorrow,
although wind speeds will be lower with only a few gusts to 15 to 20
knots. VFR conditions will prevail through tomorrow, with only FEW
clouds with bases AOA 10kft AGL through this evening, then SKC.
For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 00Z Forecast Package...Southwest winds with
intermittent gusts to 25 knots will continue through sunset at most
regional TAF sites. The main exception will be in the Owens Valley,
where gusts will remain primarily terrain-driven with up-valley
southerly winds expected through sunset. VFR conditions are expected
through the period, with FEW to SCT clouds with bases AOA 10kft AGL
into this evening, becoming mainly SKC overnight and tomorrow.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Planz/Woods
AVIATION...Planz
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NWS VEF Office Area Forecast Discussion