Blanton, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

142
FXUS64 KSJT 051806
AFDSJT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
106 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
...New LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Hot again today with isolated to widely scattered showers and
  storms this afternoon and evening, increasing in coverage late
  tonight.
- Cooler temperatures with rain chances this weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 154 AM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
One more hot day across the area today before cooler temperatures
arrive for the weekend, along with increasing rain chances. A cold
front will arrive across the Big Country late this afternoon and
spread south across the remainder of the forecast area this evening.
Mid and high clouds will be on the increase today, as moisture
from the remnants of Lorena spread eastward. While the higher rain
chances are expected over the weekend, isolated showers and storms
will be possible this afternoon, primarily across the Big Country
and Concho Valley. Showers and a few thunderstorms are expected
to increase late tonight into Saturday morning, with the highest
POPs from the Concho Valley and Heartland southward. As for
temperatures, expect highs manly in the mid and upper 90s today
ahead of the front, with lows tonight in the 60s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Friday)
Issued at 104 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
Saturday night into Sunday an upper level ridge will be centered
across South Texas and northern Mexico with a large upper level
trough across the northern CONUS. The remnant moisture from Tropical
Storm Lorena are forecast to get pulled into the southwest U.S.
along the eastern periphery of the ridge, then eventually into
portions of West Texas. This will result in the development of
showers and thunderstorms, with the highest rain chances across the
southern half of the area. The highest rain chances will be Saturday
night into Sunday, again favoring our southern counties, with lower
rain chance across the Big Country. There remains uncertainty on
exactly how much coverage of showers and thunderstorms we will see.
Precipitable water values are forecast to increase to 1.7 to 2
inches, so locally heavy rainfall will be possible. Highs on Sunday
will be well below seasonal normals. Extensive cloud cover along
with expected showers and thunderstorms will result in highs in the
upper 70s to mid 80s. Isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms are again possible Monday, mainly across our southern
counties, but the better rain chances are forecast to shift south of
the area. Highs on Monday will be in the mid 80s to near 90.
Tuesday through the end of next work week, upper level ridging will
build back into the forecast area, resulting in dry conditions and
temperatures climbing back to near to slightly above seasonal
normals. Highs will be in the low to mid 90s with overnight lows in
the 60s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
Frontal boundary is moving southward this afternoon, which will
result in a wind shift out of the north and northeast after it
passes. Chances for showers and occasional thunderstorms will also
increase along and behind the front between 22-02Z. Any storms
that occur should be brief. Additional chances for brief showers
will occur overnight, followed by MVFR ceilings by 12Z Saturday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     64  81  66  85 /  40  30  20  30
San Angelo  65  80  65  82 /  40  50  40  50
Junction    70  83  65  83 /  10  50  40  70
Brownwood   65  80  65  84 /  20  30  20  50
Sweetwater  62  80  65  86 /  40  20  20  30
Ozona       67  82  65  81 /  40  60  50  70
Brady       68  78  66  81 /  20  40  30  60
&&
.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....Daniels
AVIATION...SK

NWS SJT Office Area Forecast Discussion