337 FXUS64 KCRP 082314 AFDCRPArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 614 PM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 611 PM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
- Cooler today and Tuesday
- Low to moderate (30-50%) chance for showers/storms this afternoon and a low (15-30%) chance Tuesday/Wednesday
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 108 PM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
Have low to moderate rain chances (30-50%) for the remainder of today across South Texas as the frontal boundary is stalled south of our region near the TX/Mexico border and is expected to linger for much of the week (through at least Wednesday). Will maintain low chances (30% or less) Tuesday and Wednesday as drier air infiltrates the mid to lower levels and a mid-level high moves over Texas. Thursday through Monday, the NBM has low to moderate chances across southern portions of our CWA as several pulses of PVA round the periphery of the ridge. The NBM is likely high- biased based on recent rainfall and the pulses look weak at this point so have made adjustments using HREF/NBM and some manual edits to cap PoPs to a low (~30-40%) chance.
Highs today and Tuesday will range from the mid 80s along the coast to the mid 90s over the Coastal Plains and Brush Country. The remainder of the period, expect upper 80s to around 100 each afternoon. Lows for the first part of the week will be around the mid 60s north to around 80 along the coast. Increasing to the 70-80 degree range for the remainder of the period.
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.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 611 PM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
VFR conditions are expected throughout this TAF cycle with light winds. There`s a low chance that some patchy fog could develop at ALI and VCT, but current thinking is that visibilities won`t drop below 6SM.
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.MARINE... Issued at 108 PM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) easterly breeze will persist through the end of the week. Elevated rain chances Monday and Tuesday will decrease Wednesday before increasing back to medium levels Thursday and Friday across the Gulf waters.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 74 90 73 92 / 10 10 10 20 Victoria 65 93 63 95 / 0 0 0 10 Laredo 73 96 71 98 / 10 0 0 10 Alice 70 94 68 95 / 10 0 0 20 Rockport 75 90 75 91 / 10 10 10 20 Cotulla 71 95 70 96 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 71 91 69 92 / 10 20 10 30 Navy Corpus 80 88 78 89 / 30 20 20 30
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.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. &&
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DISCUSSION...BF/80 AVIATION...JCP/84
NWS CRP Office Area Forecast Discussion