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Campbell, New York Weather Forecast Discussion

879
FXUS61 KBGM 161041
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 641 AM EDT Tue Sep 16 2025

.SYNOPSIS... High pressure will dominate the weather over the next week, bringing mostly sunny skies and warm temperatures. There is a small chance that a coastal low may bring a few light rain showers to northeast Pennsylvania and the southern Catskills midweek.

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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Current overnight valley fog will burn off soon after sunrise, similarly to yesterday. A strong area of high pressure north of the area will gradually drift eastward today, but will keep conditions dry and warm. A stacked coastal low off to the south gradually progresses northward, which will shift flow southeasterly, and may introduce some mid and upper level clouds particularly for NE PA.

Overnight tonight, a spotty shower or two cannot be ruled out, mainly for NE PA and southern Catskills into the Hudson Valley.

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.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... Chances for a light shower continue for NE PA and the southern Catskills through Wednesday as the stacked low pressure system off to our south will drift slightly northward on Wednesday, and is expected to weaken into an open trough of low pressure Wednesday night into Thursday as it moves off the coast and lifts northeastward. This will keep mainly mid and high level clouds around the area on Wednesday. Some thicker clouds are possible along with a low chance of a shower through Wednesday evening across the southern Catskills and portions of NE PA.

Thursday is expected to turn out mostly sunny and warmer once again as high temperatures return to the upper 70s and lower 80s across the entire CWA.

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.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... A cold front is expected to cross the area from northwest to southeast early Friday. This looks to be a largely dry frontal passage that will shift winds out of north-northwest and briefly usher in some cooler air. Although model soundings depict this front to be mainly dry, a spotty, light shower is possible early morning Friday for northern areas in Central NY. Friday night is expected to be the chilliest night over the next seven days with lows mainly in the low and mid 40s. Some spots in the Catskills and toward the Tug Hill can fall back into the mid and upper 30s, while the Wyoming Valley in NE PA remains milder with lows closer to 50 degrees.

High pressure builds in from the northwest Saturday and shifts off to our east Sunday and Monday. Conditions are expected to be mostly dry during this time, with just a slight chance of a shower Sunday and Monday, mainly out toward the Finger Lakes. Temperatures will gradually be on the rise once again, ranging from the upper 60s to mid 70s on Saturday to the mid and upper 70s by early next week.

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.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... VFR conditions are expected at all terminals today after 14Z once the fog lifts at ELM. Fog will likely develop again tonight around 8Z at ELM.

Outlook...

Tuesday afternoon through Saturday...VFR, except typical valley fog likely each late night/early morning for at least KELM.

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.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. NY...None.

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SYNOPSIS...KL NEAR TERM...KL SHORT TERM...KL LONG TERM...KL AVIATION...AJG

NWS BGM Office Area Forecast Discussion

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