Chulafinnee, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

973
FXUS64 KBMX 281750
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1250 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1237 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2025
- No weather impacts are anticipated the next seven days.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 1237 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2025
Calm weather remains in the forecast, as a surface high pressure
keeps things suppressed. On Monday however, that surface high
pressure will become slightly compressed, as some weak disturbances
from the Atlantic work into the region. This will result in at least
some low-end rain chances in our eastern zones, but unfortunately
widespread rainfall remain nowhere to be seen.
Look for overnight lows tonight and tomorrow to range in the low to
mid-60s, with afternoon highs on Monday ranging in the mid to upper-
80s.
/44/
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1237 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2025
As of this morning, it appears as if our region will now remain
completely free from any kind of influence from TD9. The influence
from Hurricane Humberto is already starting to pull TD9 to the east,
with the eventual toss out to sea still expected by sometime on
Tuesday. With all of that being said, there is still a chances for
an increase in rain chances by the middle of the new workweek, as
some vorticity pushes west from the counterclockwise motion of TD9.
Unfortunately, it still looks like this will be mostly scattered
activity, and widespread rainfall remaining absent from the
forecast.
Temperatures will continue to run at, or slightly above seasonal
through Wednesday, before colder air gets pulled south with a cold
front. This cold front won`t be associated with a traditional
trough, but rather it`s getting pulled down from the NE by TD9.
By next weekend, afternoon highs will range in the upper-70s to
low-80s, with lows dropping into the mid-50s to low-60s.
/44/
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1237 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2025
VFR conditions are anticipated for the entire TAF period.
/44/
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
MinRH values will slightly increase by the middle of the new
workweek, as some tropical moisture works into the region. However,
this moisture will quickly get traded out for dry air, with MinRH
values dropping back into the mid-30s and 40s by next weekend. Rain
chances in the long-term remain limited, and drought conditions are
expected to continue.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     64  86  63  86 /   0  10   0  10
Anniston    65  84  64  84 /   0  10   0  10
Birmingham  67  87  65  87 /   0   0   0  10
Tuscaloosa  67  90  66  89 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      67  89  65  88 /   0   0   0  10
Auburn      67  83  66  83 /   0  10   0  10
Montgomery  67  88  66  86 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        66  85  65  84 /   0  10   0   0
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM.../44/
LONG TERM..../44/
AVIATION.../44/

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion