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Claxton, Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

456
FXUS62 KCHS 091744
AFDCHS

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston SC 144 PM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025

.SYNOPSIS... Surface high pressure will prevail into the weekend.

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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... The mid and upper levels will consist of weak troughing through this afternoon and tonight over the southeastern states. At the surface a stationary front will remain to the south of the region, with high pressure centered over New England building in from the north. The dominating high pressure will yield a dry forecast. Temperatures this afternoon will peak below normal, generally in the upper 70s to low 80s. Additionally, dew points across the region are in the mid 50s to low 60s, creating rather fall-like conditions. Gusty NE winds will persist through this afternoon, around 15 to 20 mph, diminishing with sunset. Despite some high cloud cover and slightly elevated winds, temperatures tonight are forecast to dip into the upper 50s inland with 60s elsewhere.

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.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Wednesday through Friday: Aloft, troughing will prevail across the region with the trough amplifying from the Mid Atlantic southward into Friday. At the surface, high pressure will prevail inland along the Eastern Seaboard through the end of the week. Model consensus continues to favor dry conditions across the forecast area with gradually warming temperatures. For Wednesday we anticipate low to mid 80s for southeast SC and upper 80s for southeast GA. Then for Thursday and Friday, mid to upper 80s will be common with a few spots hitting 90 across interior southeast GA.

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.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... Troughing should prevail through the weekend before attempting to shift offshore early next week as ridging starts to extend in from the west. Still not much change expected at the surface as high pressure remains the dominant feature and we remain in a relatively dry pattern. Overall the forecast is dry with temperatures returning to the upper 80s and low 90s by late this weekend or early next week.

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.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Prevailing VFR through the 18Z TAF period at KCHS/KJZI/KSAV. Gusty NE winds will wane with sunset tonight, with NE winds remaining slightly elevated overnight around 10 knots.

Extended Aviation Outlook: Mostly VFR though there is a low end potential for few periods of restricted ceilings due to late night/early morning stratus.

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.MARINE... Rest of Today and Tonight: A stalled front will be positioned just south of the local waters through the period while high pressure build in across the land zones. This will yield a pinched pressure gradient, resulting in gusty NE winds. Gusts through this afternoon and into tonight. Seas in the nearshore waters around 5 to 6 ft this afternoon will diminish to 4 to 5 ft tonight. Seas in the 20 to 60 nm offshore GA waters this afternoon around 6 to 8 ft will diminish to 5 to 6 ft tonight. Small Craft Advisories are in effect for all marine zones through this afternoon and into tonight, with the nearshore waters expiring tonight and the offshore GA waters extending into Wednesday.

Wednesday through Sunday: Northeast flow is expected to prevail across the local waters through the weekend. Wind speeds should diminish beginning Wednesday night, with a another surge expected to return Friday into the weekend. Another round of advisories could be needed during the weekend time period due to increased winds and seas.

Rip Currents: The combination of persistent northeast winds, astronomical factors, and elevated swell will yield a Moderate Risk of rip currents at all beaches Wednesday. Another Moderate Risk at all beaches is likely again on Thursday under similar conditions.

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.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING... Astronomical tide levels will remain elevated through the rest of the week due to the recent full moon and upcoming lunar perigee (9/10). Total water levels will also be high with the tidal departure increasing due to the pinched pressure gradient/elevated northeast winds.

Tidal departures will then start to come down Thursday into Friday as the pressure gradient beings to relax.

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.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GA...High Risk for Rip Currents until 8 PM EDT this evening for GAZ117- 119-139-141. Coastal Flood Advisory from 8 PM this evening to midnight EDT tonight for GAZ117-119-139-141. SC...High Risk for Rip Currents until 8 PM EDT this evening for SCZ048>051. Coastal Flood Advisory from 8 PM this evening to midnight EDT tonight for SCZ048>051. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Wednesday for AMZ350-352- 354. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for AMZ374.

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NEAR TERM...CPM SHORT TERM...BSH LONG TERM...BSH AVIATION...BSH/CPM MARINE...BSH/CPM

NWS CHS Office Area Forecast Discussion

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