342 FXUS61 KRLX 100529 AFDRLXAREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 129 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
.SYNOPSIS... High pressure maintains control over the area through much of the week, yielding a stretch of dry weather amid a subtle warming trend.
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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/... As of 730 PM Tuesday...
Forecast remains largely on track with quiet weather and some river valley fog expected overnight. No updates needed.
As of 1200 PM Tuesday...
Overall mainly dry conditions continue in the near term period with high pressure in control. Afternoons will continue to be characterized by low RH, but winds look to remain generally light during the period. River valley fog will be possible overnight/early Wednesday morning. Otherwise, moisture from a low moving north along the coast Wednesday may spread enough moisture west to produce some light rain across far northeast zones, but chances are low, and main effect may just be a slight uptick in cloud cover.
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.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... As of 1200 PM Tuesday...
High pressure, along with continued cool and dry conditions will linger Thursday. A gradual warming trend will take hold by Friday as a ridge across the central U.S. nudges east into the region. High temperatures by Friday should generally top out in the low to mid 80s across the lowlands.
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.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 1200 PM Tuesday...
The trend for warming temperatures continues over the weekend as upper ridge to our west strengthens. Dry weather is expected to continue, along with low RH`s, but winds still look to remain relatively light, mitigating much in the way of fire weather concerns.
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.AVIATION /05Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 125 AM Wednesday...
The one exception to VFR conditions will be in patchy valley fog early this morning. EKN, PKB, and CRW remain the most likely sites to experience sub-VFR ceilings and visibilities in fog, though brief restrictions aren`t completely out of the question for HTS or CKB around sunrise. Fog will dissipate by 13 to 14Z, then high pressure brings another quiet, VFR day.
Calm to light winds continue through the morning, then light and northerly flow is expected during the day. Winds calm again after 00Z.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing and extent of fog may vary from the forecast.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
DATE WED 09/10/25 UTC 1HRLY 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 EDT 1HRLY 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H M M M M H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H M M M H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H M M M M M M M H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H L M M M H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H M M M M H H H H
AFTER 06Z THURSDAY... IFR possible in early morning valley fog each morning.
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.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...None. OH...None. KY...None. VA...None.
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SYNOPSIS...20 NEAR TERM...FK/SL SHORT TERM...SL LONG TERM...SL AVIATION...20
NWS RLX Office Area Forecast Discussion