634 FXUS65 KBOI 222002 AFDBOIArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID 202 PM MDT Mon Sep 22 2025
.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Wednesday night...A ridge continues to build into the region later today with a warming trend into Wednesday. Winds at the surface are breezy northwest today, especially through the Magic and Treasure Valleys before shifting to the east-southeast on Tuesday and Wednesday. Breezy southeast winds expected during the afternoons on Tuesday and Wednesday through the I-84 corridor in Baker County, and the Treasure Valley to the Magic Valley. Elsewhere, breezy southeast winds mainly on the ridgetops during the day with light winds at night. Temperatures are near normal today warming to 10 degrees above normal by Wednesday.
.LONG TERM...Thursday through Monday...The upper-level ridge over the area will flatten and shift east Thursday, giving way to broad W-NW flow aloft. Temperatures on Thursday will begin 10 degrees above normal for the early Fall period. A subtle shortwave will pass along our northern CWA border Thursday into Friday, providing an increased pressure gradient for higher wind gusts Friday afternoon. As the ridge breaks down, with more zonal flow aloft, temperatures for the rest of the period will be 5-10 degrees above normal still. Dry conditions will prevail thanks to limited moisture values.
The upper-level cutoff low in California will stall through the weekend, and finally begin a track east into the Desert Southwest on Monday. Monday has hints of an upper-level trough from the Gulf of Alaska slinging shortwave troughs through the area along with west-southwesterly flow aloft, bringing precipitation possibility back into the picture.
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.AVIATION...VFR. Smoke from fires in Washington moving over the area, most dense over E/SE Oregon and west-central Idaho mountains. Height of smoke layer generally from 5,000-10,000 feet. KBKE has highest chances of near surface smoke. Surface winds: SW-NW 5-15 kt, becoming E/SE below 10 kts overnight. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: NW to NE 10-20 kt.
KBOI...VFR. Smoke aloft around 5,000-10,000 feet. Surface winds: W to NW 9-14 kt, gusting around 20 kt this afternoon. After sunset, light and variable, becoming SE 3-7 kts.
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.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...None. OR...None.
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SHORT TERM...KA LONG TERM....CH AVIATION.....CH
NWS BOI Office Area Forecast Discussion