Davis Island, Florida Weather Forecast Discussion

552
FXUS62 KTBW 011135
AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
735 AM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025
...New AVIATION...
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 730 AM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025
VFR conditions and light winds around 5-10 knots will prevail at all
terminals through the period. Rain and storm chances remain low
today, so will not mention any weather concerns at any of the
terminals.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 331 AM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025
Early morning IR satellite imagery is showing hurricane Imelda to
the east of Florida pulling away to the northeast. Through the
rest of the week, a broad mid level shortwave will rotate south
into Florida, then will linger overhead through the weekend and
into early next week. At the surface, broad high pressure will
fill in from the north in the wake of Imelda`s departure, setting
up modest east and northeast flow, and allowing moisture to
increase slightly. As a result, rain chances will gradually
increase through the rest of the week, with isolated to scattered
coverage today becoming numerous by this weekend, then moderating
back to scattered to numerous coverage early next week. Otherwise,
temperatures will run near to slightly above normal through the
period, with afternoon highs topping out in the mid 80s to around
90, and morning lows from the upper 60s to mid 70s.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 331 AM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025
As hurricane Imelda to the east of Florida pulls away, surface
high pressure will build into the eastern Gulf from the north,
creating a tight pressure gradient across the waters. This will
result in east and northeast winds increasing to Small Craft
Exercise Caution or Small Craft Advisory levels tonight through
the upcoming weekend, with the highest winds generally north of
Tampa Bay. Otherwise, scattered to numerous showers and storms
will develop each day, creating locally gusty winds and rough
seas.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  91  74  89  73 /  20  30  50  10
FMY  91  74  88  73 /  30  30  70  30
GIF  90  73  87  72 /  20  20  50  10
SRQ  89  73  89  72 /  30  30  60  20
BKV  90  69  88  68 /  20  20  40   0
SPG  88  75  87  74 /  30  30  50  10
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&
$$
AVIATION...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...Pearce

NWS TBW Office Area Forecast Discussion