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Doyle, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

973
FXUS64 KOHX 220352
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1052 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1040 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025

- Medium to high rain and thunderstorm chances are in the forecast through Thursday. There is a low threat for severe storms with damaging winds Monday and Tuesday. Some storms will have heavy downpours causing minor flooding.

- Temperatures will cool down to near normal values by mid-week.

&&

.SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Tuesday Night) Issued at 1040 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025

Scattered showers and storms that formed Sunday afternoon weakened during the late evening, but scattered showers and a few rumbles will linger here and there overnight into daybreak Monday.

The next wave will come on Monday with slightly greater coverage than Sunday. Once again some storms will produce heavy rain. The passing shortwave will bring an increase in deep layer shear, so there will be a slightly greater risk for storm organization and damaging wind gusts Monday afternoon and evening. As of late Sunday evening, SPC had placed most of the area under a Marginal Risk (level 1 out of 5).

Scattered showers/storms will continue Monday night and Tuesday with activity decreasing, but not totally ending overnight. The coverage and strength of storms will increase again daytime Tuesday with another low risk for severe storms Tuesday afternoon and evening.

&&

.LONG TERM... (Wednesday through next Monday) Issued at 1040 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025

Wednesday into Thursday, a closed upper level low pressure system will form along the Ms River Valley. This will bring widespread lift and forcing for rain and storms. PWATs will likely be highest during this time with values of 1.75 to 2 inches. Rain chances are high Wednesday into Thursday with an increased potential for localized flooding. The widespread rain and clouds will bring temperatures down near normal levels.

A front sweeps through the area late Thursday which will keep our high temperatures in the 70s to low 80s through the weekend. Post front, rain chances will decrease, however, some shower chances will linger as an upper-level low hangs around into the weekend. Later next weekend, things dry out with pleasant temperatures lasting well into the following week as we wrap up September.

&&

.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 636 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025

Clusters of thunderstorms continue this evening with impacts anticipated at BNA and MQY over the next 2 to 3 hours. Brief vis restriction can be expected with gusts to 25 kts possible. Various outflow boundaries are resulting in wind direction to be variable, though average direction remains southerly beyond outflow passage. Hi-res models are holding on to scattered shower activity near BNA through the majority of the overnight hours, so VCSH has been included for a longer period in the taf. PROB30s are in at all sites for another round of storms tomorrow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 69 87 69 87 / 40 70 60 60 Clarksville 67 85 66 85 / 40 70 70 60 Crossville 62 80 63 79 / 20 60 40 70 Columbia 67 87 67 86 / 30 60 50 50 Cookeville 65 82 64 81 / 30 70 50 80 Jamestown 64 82 64 79 / 20 60 60 80 Lawrenceburg 66 86 66 85 / 20 60 50 50 Murfreesboro 67 87 67 86 / 30 60 50 60 Waverly 66 85 65 83 / 40 70 60 60

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&

$$

SHORT TERM...13 LONG TERM....13 AVIATION.....APBB

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion

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