Elkland, Missouri Weather Forecast Discussion

411
FXUS63 KSGF 060446
AFDSGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1146 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A cold front brings rain chances (50-90%) to the area today.
  Rainfall amounts are expected to remain limited to a few
  tenths of an inch.
- Cooler and dry this weekend with highs in the mid 70s to low
  80s. A warming trend returns to the area through early to
  middle of next week with temperatures above normal for early
  September.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 324 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
A cold front and upper level disturbance will lead to
increasing convective coverage and intensity, mainly along and
south of I-44 late this evening into early tonight. Instability
will be weak, thus lightning and moderate rainfall will be the
greatest hazards with and stronger cells.
Precip amounts will generally be light at less than 0.20", but
some locations south of I-44 could see isolated amounts up to a
half inch.
Behind the front, rain will clear out tonight, leaving the area
dry by sunrise. Look for lows in the 50s.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 324 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
The rest of the forecast period will be dry. The pattern this
weekend will feature an upper ridge over the western CONUS and a
trough over the central. Through next week, that pattern slowly
shifts east, which will result in a warming trend. By Wednesday,
highs are forecast to be in the low to mid 90s, but with low
humidity limiting heat impacts. Look for daily minRH values of
30-40% with some locations seeing 20-30%.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1146 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
Light to locally moderate showers will move through southern
Missouri at the start of the TAF period. Most rain will be light
enough for VFR conditions to prevail, but periods of moderate
rain may briefly drop visibilities to MVFR levels. Rain looks to
move south of the terminals after 12Z. Beyond that, clearing
skies and light winds will prevail.
There is some potential for fog (50% chances) across central and
west-central Missouri by early morning as cool air overruns a
moist surface; however, the best signal currently looks to be
north of the TAF sites, so no mention of fog was included in the
initial 06Z TAFs issuances, but amendments may be needed should
fog indeed develop.
&&
.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Titus
LONG TERM...Titus
AVIATION...Didio

NWS SGF Office Area Forecast Discussion