Elmer, Louisiana Weather Forecast Discussion

132
FXUS64 KLCH 280527
AFDLCH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1227 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry air mass will stick around through mid week with little to
  no chance of significant rainfall.
- Warm daytime temperatures with low humidity and comfortable
  night time temperatures will also continue into early next week.
- Toward the end of the week, moisture values will increase
  slightly and the upper level look to become more favorable for a
  chance of rain.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Surface high will continue to ridge down into the forecast area
during the period. This will provide northerly flow in the low
levels with a dry continental air mass. Meanwhile, ridging aloft
will also persist over the forecast area. Keeping the mid levels dry
and the atmosphere capped. Therefore, do not see any significant
precipitation in the forecast and will keep it dry.
With the dry air mass, air temperatures during the daytime will
remain warm and slightly above climo norms, however low dew points
will keep humidity in check. Nights will be a little cool with
temperatures near or slightly below climo norms.
Rua
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 1226 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
High pressure looks to move to near or off the Mid-Atlantic region
that will allow a more easterly flow in the low levels that will
help modify the continental air mass with some increase in moisture
from the west Atlantic and northeast Gulf. At this time a broad
shear axis looks to form across the southeast US into the Gulf
south. Therefore, some chance of rain, although slight, will be
introduced by Thursday for mainly daytime scattered showers.
Temperatures will be fairly close to climo norms during this period.
Rua
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1226 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
High pressure at the surface and aloft will keep a dry air mass in
place during the period. Therefore, mainly light winds from the
northeast, with mainly clear skies and VFR conditions are expected
to continue.
Rua
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1227 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Surface high pressure ridging down into the coastal waters through
mid week will keep a light to occasionally modest offshore flow to
go along with mainly low seas. No significant chance of shower
activity is also noted through mid week.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1227 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
With high pressure at the surface and aloft over the region, a dry
air mass will remain in place with no significant chance for
rainfall into early next week. Afternoon minimum relative humidity
is expected to be between 30 and 40 percent through Monday. Surface
winds will remain from mainly the northeast at less than 10 knots.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  88  63  91  66 /   0   0   0   0
LCH  88  66  90  70 /   0   0   0   0
LFT  89  66  90  69 /   0   0   0   0
BPT  89  65  90  68 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...07

NWS LCH Office Area Forecast Discussion