Fairdale, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

890
FXUS64 KSHV 121112
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
612 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1245 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
- High pressure will keep rain chances low and temperatures high
   through the weekend into next week across the Four State
   Region.
- Outdoor humidity will remain low enough to limit more dangerous
   heat, but gradually enhance wildfire and drought development
   risks further into September.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1245 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
Persistent ridging aloft will control weather conditions across
the Four State Region through the next seven days. This will keep
the atmosphere suppressed enough for almost no rainfall through
the same period with variably light winds and above-normal
temperature maximums for this time of the year (upper 90s). The
only reprieve from more dangerous heat will come from dew points
remaining in the upper 60s/lower 70s with long-range guidance
suggesting lower 60s into next week. That said, this gradually
drier air will become more of a concern for enhanced fire weather
and drought development by the end of the month. /16/
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 609 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
For the 12/12z TAF update...Not seeing much in the way of cloud
cover this morning on satellite. I have left some mention of some
fog in for KMLU and KELD through 12/13z, but I have not really
seen anything drop for them yet this morning, although it is still
in the realm of possibility. Expected more CU to develop later
this morning and continue into the afternoon hours, so I have
maintained SCT050 around 12/15z before going to FEW around 13/00z.
Winds will be light throughout this TAF period. /33/
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1245 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  97  75  97  73 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  96  71  97  67 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  94  68  94  68 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  97  72  96  71 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  96  68  96  66 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  93  72  92  72 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  95  72  94  71 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  96  70  94  70 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...33

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion