Goliad, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

944
FXUS64 KCRP 181813
AFDCRP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
113 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1248 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
- Low to medium (20-40%) shower and thunderstorm chances through
  early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1248 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
Daily low to medium (20-40%) rain and thunderstorm chances will
remain in the forecast through next week. Most of the activity can
be expected during the late morning hours into the afternoon along
the sea breeze. However, chances increase to around 40-60% inland
around mid next week with a potential shortwave trough and
boundary passing through the state. Models are still in disagreement
in terms of timing and exact location of this feature, therefore,
have again capped PoPs inland at 60%, but will need to keep an
eye on this over the coming days. Temperatures will be above
normal through next week, increasing by a few degrees over the
weekend into early next week.
Tides reached again 1.72 ft overnight, and are running around
0.7-0.8 ft above predicted at Port Aransas today. Although not
anticipating any major concerns from this, high tide may approach
1.6-1.7 ft again tonight. Water may reach some of the walkways and
approach the dunes at high tide, but as in the past few days,
should recede quickly. Will continue to monitor beach conditions
in case an Advisory is needed.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1248 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
VFR conditions will generally prevail through the cycle at area
terminals, with the exception of a brief period of MVFR visibilities
due to patchy fog development at VCT early Friday morning. A few
showers will be in the vicinity of LRD this afternoon, but mostly
dry conditions can be expected elsewhere. Winds will be around
10-15 knots this afternoon out of the east to southeast, with a
few gusts to 20 knots. Winds will be light and variable overnight.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1248 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) east to southeasterly breeze will
persist through early next week. There will be a low to medium
chance (30-60%) of showers and thunderstorms through the weekend,
with slightly higher chances next week (60-70%).
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    74  91  74  91 /   0  10  10  30
Victoria          69  94  69  94 /   0  10   0  20
Laredo            73  98  73  98 /  10  20   0  10
Alice             71  94  71  94 /   0  10   0  30
Rockport          76  91  76  90 /   0  10  10  30
Cotulla           71  96  72  96 /   0  10   0   0
Kingsville        71  92  71  92 /   0  10  10  30
Navy Corpus       79  88  79  88 /  10  10  20  30
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...ANM/88
AVIATION...ANM/88

NWS CRP Office Area Forecast Discussion