Hawthorne Army Ammunition Pl, Nevada Weather Forecast Discussion

517
FXUS65 KREV 231854
AFDREV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
1154 AM PDT Tue Sep 23 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Near to slightly above average temperatures are expected
  through much of the upcoming week.
* Another weather system to bring shower and thunderstorm chances
  again late Wednesday through Thursday, mainly from I-80
  southward.
* Possible weather system early next week to bring cooler
  temperatures, increased shower chances, and breezy conditions.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Clear skies prevail areawide today with afternoon highs in the
80s and mid to upper 70s for valleys and higher elevations,
respectively. Said high temperatures will remain through the
majority of the next week. Dry conditions today will continue
through at least Wednesday afternoon before a closed low pressure
system brings increased shower chances.
Light showers can be expected for the Tahoe Basin and southward
along the Eastern Sierra starting as early as Wednesday evening
(15-30% chance). Showers may linger in the aforementioned areas
overnight before increasing in probability and areal coverage
Thursday. By Thursday afternoon, there is a 30-65% chance for
showers along the Eastern Sierra from Alpine county through Mono
county. The highest probabilities will be confined along the
highest peaks. However, chances (15-45%) also expand eastward
into the Basin and Range, south of I-80. As of now, there is a 10%
chance for showers in Reno on Thursday. This system is trending
drier as compared to the system last weekend; rainfall totals will
be less than half an inch along the peaks of the Sierra with
0.1-0.3" expected in Alpine, Mineral, and Mono counties.
Chances for embedded thunderstorms Thursday afternoon are also
possible, but will be isolated to the Sierra again. As we move
towards the weekend, we will see continued shower and thunderstorm
chances (15-25%) for Mono and Mineral counties. Models project
the aforementioned closed low to spin over southern CA this
weekend, allowing for storm chances to continue.
Monday and beyond, things start to look a bit muddier. Models hint
at a low pressure dropping down from Alaska, which may bring
cooler temperatures, increased shower chances, and breezy winds.
However, there is plenty of uncertainty. Stay tuned to see how
everything shakes out.
-Giralte
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR conditions expected for all terminals today with light winds
and typical afternoon gusts up to 20 kts.
-Giralte
&&
.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&
$$

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