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Hesper, Montana Weather Forecast Discussion

506
FXUS65 KBYZ 242322
AFDBYZ

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Billings MT 522 PM MDT Wed Sep 24 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warm and dry through Monday.

- A dry cold front brings breezy and slightly cooler conditions to the region Friday.

- Pattern change towards more seasonal temperatures with occasional chances of precipitation possible by early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Today through Tuesday...

Warm and dry conditions forecast for the next 6 days at least, with a chance (20-30%) arriving by Tuesday. Upper pattern shows a ridge through Thursday, a weak but broad trof moving through Friday, then more flat ridging and long fetch southerly flow for the weekend into early next week. Broad Pacific trof nudges into the area Monday night into Tuesday from the west.

As far as sensible weather, temperatures will be mainly in the 80s with a chance for 70s Friday as the broad trof cruises across the area. This trof has been digging further south with progressive runs pushing up the probabilities for highs cooler than 80 degrees above 50 percent for central and eastern valley areas, and above 70 percent most other locations. Along with the cooler, though still above normal, temperatures will come increased northwesterly winds for the Friday. Probabilities for gusts over 20 mph are highest from Rosebud county east and from Wheatland county southeast into Billings, at 50-90%. Saturday warms back up with 80s anticipated through the weekend into Monday. Tuesday looks like a transition day with a lot of uncertainty in the models so for now looking at those increasing precipitation chances and temperatures trending cooler than Monday. Chambers

.AVIATION...

00z Discussion... VFR conditions will prevail across the forecast region. Winds will remain light primarily out of the SW before a front moves through from north to south between 10z (KMLS/BIL) and 16z (KSHR). This will flip the winds to more of an NE direction while still remaining light. WMR &&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...

Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed ----------------------------------------------------------- BIL 052/084 054/079 049/082 052/083 056/084 056/079 052/073 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 01/B 11/B 22/W LVM 045/084 046/077 043/081 046/082 049/079 046/071 042/065 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 12/T 33/W 43/W HDN 047/085 049/079 045/083 048/085 051/085 053/081 051/074 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/B 11/B 31/B MLS 049/084 051/079 046/083 051/088 056/086 056/083 052/075 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/B 00/U 21/B 4BQ 049/083 052/078 048/081 053/086 057/084 056/081 055/074 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/B 00/U 11/B BHK 046/081 050/079 044/082 050/087 054/085 054/081 051/075 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/B 00/U 11/B SHR 047/084 047/078 044/081 047/084 050/082 049/079 047/072 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 01/B 11/U 22/W

&&

.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MT...None. WY...None.

&&

$$ weather.gov/billings

NWS BYZ Office Area Forecast Discussion

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