Holt, Florida Weather Forecast Discussion

879
FXUS64 KMOB 301116
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
616 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1206 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
An upper ridge located over the interior eastern states and also
extending down the Mississippi River valley slowly evolves almost
into a Rex Block-ish pattern by Thursday as a modest upper trof
expands across the northern Gulf coast states. Tropical Storm
Imelda is meanwhile forecast to move away from the northwestern
Bahamas tonight and away from the southeastern U.S. on Tuesday.
Please see the National Hurricane Center for the latest
information on Imelda. A surface ridge builds down into the
southeast states through Thursday, and it appears that a subtle
surface trof progresses across the northeastern Gulf. This latter
feature looks sufficient to support small pops mainly for coastal
Alabama on Wednesday and Thursday, with otherwise dry conditions
anticipated.
A modest upper trof persists across the northern Gulf coast states
on Friday then appears to evolve into a broad upper low on
Saturday centered roughly over the lower Mississippi River valley.
The modest upper low breaks down to an open trof on Sunday and
weakens further on Monday. There are still indications that a
modest surface low may develop over the north central Gulf by
Saturday though the movement of this potential feature is
uncertain going into early next week. Have gone with rain chances
trending to chance pops for much of the area for Sunday and
Monday. Highs on Tuesday and Wednesday will be 85 to 90 then trend
to the lower to mid 80s for Friday through Sunday. Highs on Monday
look to be in the mid to upper 80s. Lows Tuesday night range from
the mid/upper 60s inland to around 70 at the coast then trend
cooler through Thursday night to range from around 60 inland to
the mid/upper 60s at the coast. Overnight lows then moderate
through Sunday night to range from the mid 60s inland to around
70 at the coast. A low risk of rip currents continues through
Wednesday night then increases to a high risk for Thursday night
through Saturday night. /29
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 615 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
VFR flight category prevails through tonight. Winds remain out of
the north-northeast to northeast at 5 to 10 knots during the day,
weakening to near 5 knots tonight. MM/25
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1206 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
A light to occasionally moderate northeasterly flow prevails through
Wednesday. A moderate to strong easterly flow develops during the
latter half of the week and continues into Saturday with seas
trending much higher. Small craft advisories will likely be required
Thursday through Saturday. /29
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      88  69  88  66  87  65  85  67 /   0   0  20  10  10  10  10  10
Pensacola   87  71  86  70  86  68  84  70 /  10  10  10   0  10  10  20  20
Destin      87  71  86  70  86  68  84  70 /  10   0  10   0  10  10  10  20
Evergreen   88  65  87  63  87  58  86  63 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  87  67  87  64  87  60  84  63 /   0   0  10   0   0   0   0   0
Camden      87  66  86  62  86  60  83  63 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Crestview   87  66  87  64  86  61  84  64 /  10   0  10   0   0   0  10  10
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
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NWS MOB Office Area Forecast Discussion