Hurricane Mills, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

175
FXUS64 KOHX 011531
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1031 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1018 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
- Dry with warmer than normal temperatures through at least this
  weekend.
- Low chance (20-25%) rain could return by Monday/Tuesday next
  week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Thursday)
Issued at 1018 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
The big yellow machine in the sky will continue drench Middle TN in
all of its glory today as high pressure maintains its grip over the
region. Afternoon highs will climb into the mid to upper 80s,
which is still 6 to 8 degrees above normal. Rains of a week ago
are becoming a distant memory as we start to crisp up again. I
don`t think it`s going to be an issue today or tomorrow, but as we
near this weekend without any rain, we`ll need to start watching
fire conditions once again, especially with any afternoon mixing
that could drop dew points lower than currently depicted in the
NBM.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1018 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
Temperatures are expected to remain above normal (which is 80
degrees at BNA and 73 at CSV this time of the year) through the rest
of this forecast package. The downside is, the forecast is looking
drier and drier. Extended guidance was hinting at the possibility
that we could get a push of Gulf moisture Sunday night or Monday
morning and now it`s into Monday night before that potential might
rear its head (and it isn`t much). The NBM, as well as CPC`s 6-10
and 8-14 day outlooks, maintains this scenario, too. So, I guess
the best we can do is enjoy these comfortable days with highs in
the mid 80s and dew points in a very manageable range.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 612 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
Light E/NE winds today with VFR conditions prevailing through the
TAF period.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      89  64  88  60 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    89  61  89  60 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     82  56  79  51 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       87  62  86  57 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     84  59  81  56 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      82  57  80  54 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   86  61  84  55 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   88  62  85  57 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        87  63  86  59 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Unger
LONG TERM....Unger
AVIATION.....Cravens

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion