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Jackson, Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

193
FXUS62 KFFC 291825
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 225 PM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 224 PM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025

- Isolated showers and thunderstorms through Tuesday with dry conditions the rest of the week.

- High temps falling into the mid 70s and breezy winds each afternoon will lead to fall-like conditions through late week.

&&

.SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Tuesday) Issued at 224 PM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025

While Imelda is looking to take a good hard turn to the east and steer clear of the mainland; widespread cloud coverage will keep temperatures a few degrees below normal today. Highs in the upper 70s and low 80s combined with dew points in the 60s should make for a lovely day.

As Imelda works her way north, she`s interacting with the stationary front that brought us some showers and thunderstorms a few days ago. The scrunching of those isobars is giving us some gusty winds across most of north and central Georgia. NE winds at 10-15mph could gust as high as 25mph this afternoon before easing overnight.

&&

.LONG TERM... (Wednesday morning through next Sunday) Issued at 224 PM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025

The newly named Tropical Storm Imelda is centered about 95 miles to the west of the central Bahamas, and is anticipated to move slowly northward through the short term period. By the beginning of the long term period on Tuesday morning, the center of Imelda is expected to be positioned a couple of hundred miles to the southeast of the Georgia coast. Ensemble guidance is coming into better agreement that the storm will begin to turn eastward into the Atlantic on Tuesday, accelerating as it moves towards Bermuda. Examining the trends in the last few track forecasts from NHC, the point at which the storm`s movement shifts from north to east is trending further away from Georgia to the south and east. The increasing agreement in an eastward turn further away from the forecast area begets increasing confidence that wind and rain impacts from Imelda will be minimal in north and central Georgia. A moist airmass will be in place across the area on Tuesday, with dewpoints in the mid to upper 60s. As temperatures rise into the low to mid 80s, scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop on Tuesday afternoon. PoPs will be highest (30-50 percent) in the eastern portions of the forecast area, in the closest proximity to Imelda, with progressively lower PoPs further west.

On Wednesday, a broad upper level ridge will become centered over the east CONUS, with a strong surface high moving over New England. A wedge of high pressure associated with this surface high will spread into north Georgia as Imelda continues to retreat eastward into the Atlantic. This synoptic setup will favor cooler and drier conditions during the later part of the week and into the weekend, with minimal rain chances, highs in the mid to upper 70s and lows in the mid 50s to low 60s. Winds are furthermore expected to be northeasterly during the mid to late week, rising to 10-15 mph with gusts as high as 25 mph during the afternoon hours.

&&

.AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 121 PM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025

BKN low VFR CIGS continue to fill into the area. No CIGS improvement is expected as far reaching cloud coverage from the tropics with keep low clouds hanging around. ENE winds at 10-15kts will gust as high as 20kts today before easing after 08Z.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

High on all elements.

Vaughn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 65 77 61 81 / 20 10 0 0 Atlanta 67 81 65 83 / 0 10 0 0 Blairsville 59 76 56 78 / 10 40 10 10 Cartersville 65 84 63 85 / 0 20 0 0 Columbus 67 85 65 86 / 0 10 0 0 Gainesville 65 79 62 82 / 10 20 0 0 Macon 67 81 63 84 / 10 10 0 0 Rome 65 86 64 88 / 10 10 0 0 Peachtree City 65 82 62 83 / 0 10 0 0 Vidalia 68 83 64 85 / 10 20 0 0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&

$$

SHORT TERM...Vaughn LONG TERM....King AVIATION...Vaughn

NWS FFC Office Area Forecast Discussion

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