Kirkville, Mississippi Weather Forecast Discussion

193
FXUS64 KMEG 251734
AFDMEG
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1234 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1208 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
- A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will traverse the Mid-
  South through this evening as a low pressure system pulls away
  from the region.
- Drier and cooler air will filter in resulting in pleasant
  conditions for the weekend and into the beginning of next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1045 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
A low pressure system is currently parked across the middle of the
area, allowing some scattered showers to continue through this
morning. This system will slowly continue its trek to the
east through the remainder of the day, with scattered showers
likely continuing until it clears the area. So far we have not
seen any thunderstorms in the mix, but can`t rule out a few
rumbles or two of thunder into the afternoon hours. Conditions
will slowly improve overnight, with skies clearing through the day
on Friday.
Can`t ask for a better forecast for the upcoming weekend, with dry
and sunny conditions across the area. High temperatures will
remain near-normal, generally spanning the low to mid 80s. By
the beginning of next week, weak upper-level ridging will begin to
develop, aiding to keep dry conditions across the Mid-South with
high temperatures climbing a few degrees each day. This pattern
will likely persist through at least the middle of the week, with
some uncertainty in the forecast thereafter. The one forecast note
to keep an eye on will be the trajectory of the low pressure
system from today as it moves east of the area. While the majority
of ensembles do push this system into the Carolinas, there is
some question as to how far east it will get before being blocked
by a stout ridge over the Atlantic. If this system does not drift
too far east, this could bring the possibility of some showers by
midweek. Nonetheless, leaning towards the drier solution, but
worth mentioning that it is something to watch over the next few
forecast cycles.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1234 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Scattered SHRA continue to move across the airspace, with
predominately MVFR cigs. Expect for cigs to continue to vary
through the afternoon, but should begin to see improvements to VFR
by the evening as SHRA moves out the area. Could see some patchy
fog develop overnight, but given limited confidence have only
included for MKL at this time. Northerly winds around 7-9 kts
continue, dropping back to < 5 kts after 01Z.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1045 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
No major fire weather concerns through at least the weekend, as
recent rains have saturated soils. Dry conditions will return into
next week, so some minor fire danger concerns could return to the
area.
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&
$$
PUBLIC FORECAST...CMA
AVIATION...CMA

NWS MEG Office Area Forecast Discussion