Lipan, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

434
FXUS64 KFWD 010546
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1246 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
...New Short Term, Long Term, Aviation...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Quiet but warm weather continues through the weekend.
- Very low rain chances return early next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Overnight through Wednesday Night/
Clear skies and light winds will continue overnight tonight and
through the day Wednesday as mid level ridging slowly builds back
into the Southern Plains. As such, we`ll see a relatively cool
morning tomorrow with temperatures in the low/mid 60s warming
into the upper 80s and lower 90s by afternoon. Clear skies will
continue into Wednesday night with lows in the low/mid 60s.
Dunn
&&
.LONG TERM... /NEW/
/Thursday through Tuesday/
Mid level ridging will remain in place through the end of the week
keeping temperatures above normal with highs in the lower 90s each
day through the weekend. This ridge will get pinched on the
eastern periphery by a slow moving upper trough that gets cut off
from the main flow to the north over the weekend. While this won`t
have an immediate impact to our weather across North Texas, it
will eventually allow a deeper east-southeast flow to become
established by the latter half of the weekend into early next
week. This happens as troughing becomes more pronounced over the
western CONUS placing North Texas within a zone of weak forcing
for ascent. Enough moisture should work its way northward by
Monday afternoon for a few showers to develop mainly across our
far southern counties. This trend will continue into Tuesday as
well, but ridging looks like it will expand again by the middle of
next week continuing a pattern of warm and dry conditions.
Dunn
&&
.AVIATION... /NEW/
/6Z TAFs/
VFR will prevail through the period with a light easterly flow
around 5 kt. No significant aviation concerns are expected through
Wednesday.
Dunn
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    67  90  68  91  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                65  90  65  92  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               62  87  63  90  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
Denton              62  90  62  90  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            63  90  64  90  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              68  91  69  93  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             63  90  64  91  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           66  91  66  93  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              62  91  64  92  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       62  92  62  93  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion