056 FXUS64 KSJT 242331 AFDSJTArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 631 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Showers and thunderstorms will continue for the I-10 corridor and southern Heartland this afternoon.
- Cooler temperatures and dry weather late this week and this weekend.
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.SHORT TERM... (This evening through Thursday) Issued at 111 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
The cold front has moved to the south of our forecast area today. Behind the front, showers and thunderstorms are pushing south into the I-10 corridor and southern Heartland. This activity is expected to remain sub severe, with the main hazards being heavy rainfall and dangerous lightning. The cold front and dense cloud cover has kept temperatures around 15 to 25 degrees cooler this afternoon compared to yesterday at this time. The rain will continue to push southeast, with most of the activity leaving the area by the late afternoon. However, we could have a few isolated storms hang around the I-10 corridor into the evening. Rain chances will end tonight, leaving tomorrow drier with temperatures right around normal (highs in the mid 80s).
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.LONG TERM... (Thursday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 231 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
A weak high pressure ridge develops for the remainder of this week, which will act to keep temperatures warm and dry. Then, the GFS and ECMWF both depict a low pressure developing across the southern end of California and Arizona. This system will weaken the higher pressure, but most of the rain will remain off to the west of our area through the weekend. By early next week, this low appears to weaken and move east towards the Plains. However, rain chances will still remain minimal through next week.
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.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 527 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Showers and thunderstorms have moved south of the area early this evening. Skies are steadily clearing and expect VFR conditions and light winds to prevail through the next 24 hours.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 62 84 60 89 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 59 84 57 89 / 10 0 0 0 Junction 62 86 56 89 / 30 10 0 0 Brownwood 61 85 57 88 / 10 0 0 0 Sweetwater 61 84 61 89 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 61 86 58 88 / 20 0 0 0 Brady 62 83 58 86 / 20 0 0 0
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.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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SHORT TERM...AP LONG TERM....41 AVIATION...Daniels
NWS SJT Office Area Forecast Discussion