923 FXUS63 KMKX 131904 AFDMKXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 204 PM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Above normal temps and humidity this weekend into next week. Daily thunderstorm chances return for the 2nd half of the new week.
- Areas of fog over south central and southwest WI is forecast late tonight into Sunday morning.
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.SHORT TERM... Issued 204 PM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025
Tonight through Monday night:
The low stratus has been slow to mix out over east central WI but it is still making progress. More low stratus and fog may develop late tnt, but would likely be most concentrated from south central into southwest WI as slightly drier air on ely winds will move into ern WI. This drier air is in response to large surface high pressure moving from Ontario to srn Quebec through Monday night, while the narrow upper ridge axis to the west will shift over WI and Lake MI for tomorrow into Monday. Warm and humid conditions are expected but no precipitation into early next week.
Gehring
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.LONG TERM... Issued 204 PM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025
Tuesday through Saturday:
The narrow upper ridge axis will weaken and roll over into the Lower Great Lakes from Lake Huron and Lower MI for this period. A mean upper trough comprised of many vorticity maximums will initially be over the nrn and central Great Plains but will consolidate into a trough passage over srn WI late in the week. Thus Wed nt to the end of the week will see a return of thunderstorm chances each day and very humid conditions.
Gehring
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.AVIATION... Issued 204 PM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025
Areas of Cigs of 1000-1900 feet north of Milwaukee early this afternoon will dissipate later this afternoon. Late tnt, more areas of low stratus and fog will develop and linger into Sun AM. This would include pockets of Cigs below 1 kft and Vsbys to 1/2SM FG and may concentrate more over south central and southwest WI. The low stratus and fog will then burn off by late Sun AM.
Gehring
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.MARINE... Issued 204 PM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025
Low pressure around 29.7 inches over the northern Great Plains will remain in place through early next week, while large high pressure of 30.3 inches moves from Ontario to southern Quebec, Canada. This will yield mean light to modest easterly winds into early next week. Areas of fog, possibly dense, may develop late tonight into Sunday morning over the northern one third of the lake.
Gehring
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.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WI...None. LM...None. &&
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NWS MKX Office Area Forecast Discussion