Manchester, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

676
FXUS63 KTOP 271115
AFDTOP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
615 AM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry and quiet weather is expected through the next week with
above average temperatures.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 245 AM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Not much change across the region this morning, with upper ridging
still in place over the Plains between two upper lows over the
Southeast and Southwest. Surface high pressure has moved a bit to
our southeast, bringing in a slight southerly component to low-level
winds. A few high clouds are also moving in ahead of a decaying cold
front. This should help make for less shallow fog compared to the
past couple sunrises, though still expect a bit given the light
winds and mid-50s temperatures.
The quiet weather will continue for the next week as both upper and
surface ridging stay centered nearby. Diurnal temperature spreads
will stay fairly large, with highs mostly in the mid 80s and lows in
the 50s. Should see an increase in cloud cover Monday into Tuesday
as the Southwest upper low moves east onto the Plains and becomes
sheared out, but the effects of this will be limited to just
slightly cooler afternoons and slightly warmer nights. Starting to
see some hints of the upper ridge finally moving off to the east
with stronger troughing developing to our west. However even if so,
this likely wouldn`t be until later next weekend, beyond the end of
the current forecast period.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 614 AM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
VFR conditions will continue through the period with light
southwesterly winds becoming more northerly but still light by
evening. Potential for any additional early morning fog looks low at
this time.
&&
.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Reese
AVIATION...Reese

NWS TOP Office Area Forecast Discussion