Monteview, Idaho Weather Forecast Discussion

252
FXUS65 KPIH 240828
AFDPIH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
228 AM MDT Wed Sep 24 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Warming trend continues to Thursday afternoon, then stays
  around 10 degrees above normal through Monday.
- High pressure will keep wind weak through at least Monday
  morning.
- Next slight chance for precipitation Sunday afternoon.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 151 AM MDT Wed Sep 24 2025
High pressure peaks today, then west coast troughing starts
pushing down from the Canadaian coast on Thu. This will make
upper level wind more southwest and increase slightly Thu and
stronger Fri. The trough is too far north to bring any sort of
precipitation, but by Fri afternoon the upper level wind is back
to a cooler northwesterly flow.
Temperatures will continue to warm through Thu, then level off
for Fri and the weekend. Wind will also gradually increase, but
not expecting wind to get to any significant threshold.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 151 AM MDT Wed Sep 24 2025
High pressure will start to give way Sun afternoon to a trough
coming in from the west, with a slight chance of precipitation
over the southern third of the forecast area. For the rest of
the forecast area, the precipitation returns Mon afternoon, at
slight chance to low chance probabilities. Thunderstorms are
also a slight chance risk for Sun and Mon afternoons/evenings.
The trough axis does not get to the forecast area until Tue
night, so precipitation continues at chance to likely Mon night
and Tue.
The approaching trough will bring an unsteady cooling trend with
clouds and cooler air, but afternoon highs continue above
normal, perhaps getting to near normal on Tue. Overnight lows
stay at or above normal.
Wind is stronger, but again no significant wind is expected
outside of thunderstorms. Gusts may exceed 20KT for Tue.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1035 PM MDT Tue Sep 23 2025
Expect continued strong high pressure through the period and
for the foreseeable future. Clear skies and overall light winds
are expected.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 151 AM MDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Warming trend under high pressure continues through Thu, with
afternoon humidity staying in the vicinity of 15 percent for
minimum readings. Wind will stay light, although it will
increase slightly with a southwest to west component instead of
the variable directions of late. A risk of showers and
thunderstorms returns to areas south of the Snake River and in
the Bear Lake basin on Sun afternoon, but a trough coming in
from the west will spread it all over the region by Mon
afternoon. The trough itself will be crossing through the
forecast area on Tue, with the highest threat of showers and
thunderstorms. As the trough approaches, Sun will see afternoon
humidity and overnight humidity rise. Wind will increase with
the approach of the trough, with gusts above 20 mph developing
by Tue.
&&
.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Messick
LONG TERM...Messick
AVIATION...TW
FIRE WEATHER...Messick

NWS PIH Office Area Forecast Discussion