Noack, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

449
FXUS64 KEWX 072336
AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
636 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Locally heavy rain possible across portions of the southern
Edwards Plateau, Rio Grande, and coastal plains for the rest of this
afternoon. Localized flooding possible.
- Dry conditions return on Monday across most areas of south central
Texas with drier weather forecast for the rest of the work week.
&&
.SHORT TERM (THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...
Light to moderate showers and isolated pockets of heavy rain are
affecting most of south central Texas early this afternoon. This
activity is forecast to persist across the local area and especially
across the southern Edwards Plateau, Rio Grande, and coastal
plains through late afternoon. The cold front that moved across
the local area on Saturday sits along the middle Texas coast
with Gulf moisture being transported into the region from above
the surface. Pwats are still elevated running from 2.0 to 2.4
inches across most of south central Texas with the potential for
heavy rain placement across the southern Edwards Plateau, Rio
Grande, and coastal plains. The NAM, GFS, and other hires models
suggest for a mid level low pressure to develop over the
southern Edwards PLateau this afternoon. When looking at radar
trends, a cyclonic circulation appears over the northwest part
of Frio county and could be the feature the model guidance are
seeing. This feature is forecast to push to the south into the
Corpus Christi area this afternoon into the evening. With that
said, the feature looks like to be the main driver combined with
elevated pwat values to get additional rainfall amounts ranging
from 1 to 3 inches with isolated 4 inches through 7 PM CDT this
evening.
By this evening into the overnight hours, parts of the Rio Grande
could still see lingering light showers. This trend persists into
Monday with the rest of the local area staying dry. By Monday
evening, drier conditions spread across south central Texas.
Cooler temperatures are anticipated overnight with lows in the
mid 60s to mid 70s and Monday`s highs in the lower 80s to lower
90s across the local area.
&&
.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
Dry weather conditions are forecast for the long term forecast
period with some coastal shower and thunderstorm activity late
week into the weekend especially during the afternoon hours.
A warming trend is forecast throughout the week with highs back
into the mid to upper 90s along the I-35 corridor and coastal
plains areas and 80s across the Hill Country and southern
Edwards Plateau.
&&
.AVIATION (00Z MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
Only light showers are seen south of terminals which will
continue to move south into the evening leaving dry conditions
at terminals for the start of the period. The most likely
location for MVFR ceilings overnight is over the southern
Edwards Plateau and along the Rio Grande including KDRT.
Additionally, KSAT also has high chances to see MVFR ceilings
given the higher rainfall amounts and wet ground. VCSH will be
possible in the morning at KDRT and while rain chances extend
into the afternoon, confidence is too low to include in the
forecast. Dry conditions are expected at I-35 terminals.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              70  91  66  94 /  10   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  70  91  63  93 /  10   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     70  92  65  94 /  10  10   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            67  86  65  89 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           73  89  73  92 /  30  20   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        68  89  62  91 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             70  89  68  93 /  20  10   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        70  93  63  95 /  10   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   70  90  61  92 /  10   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       73  91  69  94 /  20  10   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           74  93  70  95 /  20  10   0   0
&&
.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM...17
AVIATION...27

NWS EWX Office Area Forecast Discussion