918 FXUS64 KLCH 251659 AFDLCHArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA Issued by National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 1159 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A cold front will move through the region today, accompanied by scattered showers and storms. Drier and relatively cooler air will filter into the region tonight through the weekend.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1155 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025 Broad troughing continues across the south-central U.S. this afternoon while at the surface, a frontal boundary extends across coastal TX/LA northeastward into TN/KY. Scattered showers and storms have been ongoing over the Gulf waters since this morning, with a few of these also affecting coastal regions. As we head through the rest of the day, a few additional showers and storms are expected, but the overall trend is for this activity to shift away from the local area as the front moves through.
High pressure will build into the region behind the front and linger through the weekend into next week. This will lead to lower rain chances and a few nicer mornings with lower dew points as well before a warming trend starts this weekend and continues into next week.
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.AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1155 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025 VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period. Some guidance is showing fog potential for tonight, but confidence is too low to mention at this time.
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.MARINE... Issued at 1155 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025 A frontal boundary will continue to push through the Gulf waters through tomorrow, with some lingering storms through the rest of today. Winds will turn north to northeast through the next several days, generally remaining 15 knots or less with seas 1-3 feet.
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.FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1155 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025 A frontal boundary will continue to push through the region today, with high pressure building in behind it. This will bring relatively drier air to the local area for the next few days, with relative humidity values dropping into the 40s.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 64 84 60 86 / 0 0 0 0 LCH 67 85 65 86 / 0 0 0 0 LFT 67 85 64 86 / 0 0 0 0 BPT 67 86 65 87 / 0 0 0 0
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.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. &&
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TBW
NWS LCH Office Area Forecast Discussion