Reiles Acres, North Dakota Weather Forecast Discussion

158
FXUS63 KFGF 211513
AFDFGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1013 AM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Warmer then average through the week with dry weather
  expected.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1013 AM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
Fog has mostly burned off across most of the area, A few spots
are still shoing low visibility but web cams show coverage is
pretty limited and will let the SPS drop. Adjusted cloud cover
for the eastern half of the CWA as they should continue to see
at least some clouds for much of the day.
UPDATE
Issued at 632 AM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
Patchy dense fog has been common across northeast North Dakota
this morning with the most persistent area low vis across
Cavalier and Towner. Have issued an SPS across the Devils Lake
region until 10am for this reason though fog (occasionally
dense) does exist outside the SPS area and motorist should
thus be cautious this morning. Remember to use your low beams
in areas of fog and to slow down.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 250 AM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
...Synopsis...
A very perturbed flow pattern across the northern plains will
eventually give way to an omega block by the end of the week
with the current group of upper lows continuing their eastward
drift with a PNW trough diving south through the northern
rockies early in the week becoming the eastern feature in the
omega block as it dips into the southeast and deepens. During
this time plains riding dominates Wednesday and beyond leading
to increasing temperatures with highs in the 70s and lows in the
50s or about 10 degrees above average.
Southwest CONUS troughing then locks the ridge in place with a
polar jet across the Canadian prairies becoming increasingly
amplified and lifting as far north as the Arctic circle by the
end of next weekend meaning weak flow through the northern
plains with minimal impetus for shortwave activity once the
current activity clears the area today. In the meantime fog
ongoing in northeast North Dakota with clearing skies allowing
for efficient radiational cooling though the coverage is porous
enough that I still cant quite justify a dense dog advisory
despite pockets meeting criteria. Will likely opt for an SPS by
4/5am closer to when people are waking up if things haven`t
filled in yet. Looking east into north central Minnesota our
showers that just wont go away look to actually clear out this
afternoon.. fingers crossed. Not expecting much if any
additional accumulation but maybe a tenth before things
officially end today. Clouds clearing west to east late today
with clear skies for most tomorrow as highs reach the upper 70s
in the west and low to mid 70s in the east for a nice fall day.
As skies are expected to be mostly clear tomorrow with light
winds once again expecting fog potential with the primary focus
east of the Red River Valley. Finally as alluded to above with
ridging dominating this week minimal chances for impactful
weather the next several days with occasional fog likely the
main thing to watch for.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 632 AM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
IFR to LIFR at TVF, BJI, and DVL this morning with MN sites due
to cigs and DVL due to fog. Both concerns should abate by mid
morning with cigs gradually lifting to MVFR at all sites by 18z.
Light winds will do little to fight off fog formation tonight in
central MN and for that reason added some low vis for BJI in the
later period of the TAF. VFR skies today from 18z to maybe as
late as 06z today.
&&
.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...JR/TT
DISCUSSION...TT
AVIATION...TT

NWS FGF Office Area Forecast Discussion