265 FXUS64 KOHX 282348 AFDOHXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 648 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
...New UPDATE...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 648 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
- Dry (mostly) through the week.
- Very warm, well above normal temperatures, trending a little cooler late week.
&&
.UPDATE... Issued at 648 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Clear skies in Middle Tennessee this evening, with lows in the 50s and 60s this evening. Forecast remains on track.
&&
.SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Monday) Issued at 1130 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
The trend of dry conditions with pleasant nights and very warm (or hot) days will continue. In fact, some spots may top 90 degrees the next couple of days which is about 10 degrees above normal. The cooldown each night will allow patchy fog to form, especially along the Plateau.
Of course, we are watching the tropics with TD 9 over the Bahamas and Humberto further out in the Atlantic. Humberto will stay well away from the mainland and the center of TD 9 (expected to become Hurricane Imelda) is expected to stay offshore. But rainfall with TD 9 will impact the East Coast. Those planning beach vacations from the Carolinas to Florida will want to monitor rainfall forecasts and especially ocean conditions for high surf and rip currents.
&&
.LONG TERM... (Monday Night through next Sunday) Issued at 1130 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
As rainfall from TD 9 / Imelda impacts the East Coast Monday through Wednesday, a weak upper trough over the Southeast may draw some moisture inland, perhaps spreading a few showers into our Plateau counties by Tuesday. This is very uncertain, but it does not look like much rainfall if it does happen. Overall, models have been trending more eastward with rainfall forecasts.
Otherwise, dry high pressure will continue to be the dominant wx pattern through the week. Late week, a weak backdoor front will bring a modest cooling trend.
&&
.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 603 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
VFR conditions prevail through the TAF period with light northeasterly winds.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 62 89 63 88 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 59 89 60 88 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 57 80 57 79 / 0 10 0 20 Columbia 59 88 61 87 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 59 83 59 82 / 0 0 0 10 Jamestown 59 81 59 80 / 0 0 0 10 Lawrenceburg 59 85 59 85 / 0 10 0 10 Murfreesboro 60 88 61 86 / 0 0 0 10 Waverly 59 87 60 86 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
$$
UPDATE.......Holley SHORT TERM...13 LONG TERM....13 AVIATION.....Clements
NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion