Rudolph, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

379
FXUS64 KBRO 082319 AAA
AFDBRO
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
619 PM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
...New AVIATION...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1224 PM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
A weak frontal boundary looks to linger across the region for the
next couple days, keeping surface winds predominately easterly
through the work week. Moisture values look to decrease tonight,
with PWAT values dropping below 2 inches, and remaining there
through the week. Rain chances will likely linger through the
week, primarily along the afternoon sea breeze each day. However,
with lower moisture values, convection is expected to become more
isolated to scattered as the week progresses.
CAMs continue to show increased convection this afternoon,
especially along eastern to southeastern portions of the CWA. With
PWAT values between 2 to 2.3 inches this afternoon, theses storms
could produce locally heavy rainfall in some locations, however
faster storm motions could decrease the potential for nuisance
flooding.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 607 PM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
Scattered VFR to broken MVFR ceilings and moderate (around 10-13
knots, gusting to around 18-21 knots) northeasterly winds are
expected to continue for a few hours this evening, leading into
sunset, before becoming light and variable later tonight. Mostly
VFR conditions are expected overnight, though brief periods of
MVFR ceilings and visibility may be possible at KHRL and KBRO as
additional development of showers, perhaps a few thunderstorms,
may continue. Moderate northeasterly winds and PROB30`s resulting
from increasing probabilities of showers and thunderstorms resume
at all terminals by tomorrow afternoon as lingering nearby
moisture generates convection along the seabreeze boundary.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1224 PM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
Generally favorable winds and seas look to continue through the
period, however elevated chances for showers and thunderstorms
will likely linger through the week. Light to moderate easterly
winds will continue through the weekend, supporting slight seas.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BROWNSVILLE             78  90  77  91 /  60  70  60  70
HARLINGEN               73  92  73  93 /  40  60  30  60
MCALLEN                 77  94  76  96 /  30  50  20  50
RIO GRANDE CITY         73  95  71  97 /  20  30  10  40
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND      80  87  81  88 /  70  70  70  70
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL     77  89  77  91 /  60  60  50  60
&&
.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...60-BE
LONG TERM....60-BE
AVIATION...65-Irish

NWS BRO Office Area Forecast Discussion