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Sage, Arkansas Weather Forecast Discussion

369
FXUS64 KLZK 062218 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 518 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 208 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025

-A much cooler day is in store for the Natural State as the cold front has nearly completely the journey from north to south across the state.

-High temperatures on Saturday will range statewide from the low 70s to the low 80s.

-A trend of below average temperatures will continue into Monday across the state before temperatures overall gradually increase to seasonal averages by mid-week and a few degrees above average by late-week.

-After the rain and isolated storms from late Friday night/early Saturday morning exits the state completely by mid-day on Saturday, no chances for any rainfall are forecast over the next 7 days.

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 208 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025

In the upper lvls, the digging trof positioned over the Mid-South will eject northeastward into the Eastern region of the CONUS. A transitions to northwesterly flow over Arkansas is expected into early next week before an upper lvl ridge begins to build over the region.

At the sfc, a cold front continues to slowly sag south and will be nearing the Arkansas/Louisiana border by sunrise on Saturday. In the wake of this FROPA will be a region of sfc high pressure that will move into region and supply the state with temperatures of roughly 8 to 10 degrees below average compared to normals for this time of the year which will be felt on Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. Into mid- week, temperatures overall aided by a combination of east- southeasterly winds at the sfc and the upper lvl ridge moving into place over Arkansas will lead to efficient WAA that will place temperatures back to seasonal normals for this time of the year. Finally, by late-week, temperatures will continue to gradually increase becoming a few degrees above average for this time of the year. A concern looking ahead over the next seven days is the lack of rain chances across the state. Arkansas will be entering a period of warming temperatures into the workweek combined with no chances for precipitation over at least the next week. Drought conditions may begin to worsen if this becomes a trend.

&&

.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 515 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025

Precip has moved south of the state this afternoon...with just some lingering low CIGs across SRN sections. Expect these low CIGs to slowly move out of the area this evening...with dominant VFR conditions expected into the overnight hrs as dry air continues to settle across the state.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 52 84 50 81 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 58 83 54 83 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 50 80 50 80 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 56 82 55 81 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 57 82 55 80 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 60 85 56 84 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 56 82 55 82 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 50 84 50 82 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 52 84 50 82 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 56 84 54 82 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 55 85 55 83 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 54 84 52 81 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 55 83 53 81 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&

$$

DISCUSSION...74 AVIATION...62

NWS LZK Office Area Forecast Discussion

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