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Saxon Wisconsin Weather Forecast Discussion

351
FXUS63 KDLH 070551
AFDDLH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Duluth MN 1251 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Seasonable fall weather for a few days. Patchy frost is possible tonight, mainly for the usual inland cold spots. A Frost Advisory is in effect for parts of far northern MN.

- A widespread freeze is likely Tuesday night into Wednesday morning with a Freeze Watch in effect.

- Gradually warming temperatures later this week into the weekend. Some rain is possible Sunday.

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 215 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

A mainly dry cool front drops southeastward tonight and may (20% chance) bring light rain showers to the Minnesota Borderlands around Midnight tonight through late tonight. Outside of those scattered rain showers, frost is expected for the Iron Range to Borderlands in St Louis County and westward into most of north- central Minnesota. A Frost Advisory is in effect tonight into Tuesday morning. Associated with the cold air advection behind the cold frontal passage, pressure gradient winds in southern Cook County could see gust to 30 mph from the northwest early Tuesday morning.

A cold air mass in the low-levels lingers over the region Tuesday and creates near to slightly-below normal mid-Fall temperatures in the Northland. Winds decrease to light and variable quickly Tuesday evening as surface high pressure sets up. Prime radiational cooling conditions Tuesday night are expected to create a fairly widespread freezing temperatures for low temperatures into Wednesday morning. A Freeze Watch was issued for all of the region beginning Tuesday 10 PM and lasting until Wednesday 10 AM. The exception, if there is any, for freezing temperatures would be within a few miles of Lake Superior shorelines where temperatures Tuesday night could only dip into the low to mid-30s.

One last round of frost is likely for the Arrowhead and northern Wisconsin Wednesday night before a slightly warming trend begins again. The warmer south-southwesterly flow for late week brings temperatures again back into the 60s and even low-70s for Thursday into the weekend. Some form of low pressure lifting through the Northern Plains Sunday may (30-50% chance) create the next round of rain chances in much of the Upper Midwest again.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 1252 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

A cold front is moving into the region tonight, with scattered light showers and overcast VFR cigs noted across north central MN. This boundary will continue eastward overnight, and cannot rule out a brief light shower at INL or HIB, but chances are too low to include in the forecast. Impacts upstream are minimal, where it has rained.

Winds will turn to the west the northwest as the front passes, with winds increasing to 7-12kts and gusts up to 20kts. Stronger winds will continue through the day Tuesday, with clearing skies. Winds diminish Tuesday evening.

&&

.MARINE /FOR NEAR SHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/... Issued at 206 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

West winds shift back to northwesterly late tonight as a cold air mess enters the region. Downsloping gusty winds around 25 knots from the northwest are forecast by early Tuesday morning and linger into Tuesday mid-day. Expect a decrease in wind speeds then through the afternoon hours. Small Craft Advisories are in effect for Taconite Harbor northward in this time period. High pressure overhead Tuesday night into Wednesday creates calm winds slowly shifting to southerly.

For the open water discussion, refer to the NWS Marquette Area Forecast Discussion at weather.gov/mqt.

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MN...Frost Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for MNZ010-011-018- 019. Freeze Watch from this evening through Wednesday morning for MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038. WI...Freeze Watch from this evening through Wednesday morning for WIZ001>004-006>009. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM early this morning to 4 PM CDT this afternoon for LSZ140-141. Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM early this morning to noon CDT today for LSZ142-143. Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM early this morning to 1 PM CDT this afternoon for LSZ147-150.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...NLy AVIATION...HA MARINE...NLy

NWS DLH Office Area Forecast Discussion

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