Schneider, Indiana Weather Forecast Discussion

712
FXUS63 KLOT 290654
AFDLOT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL
154 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
-  Dry and unseasonably warm daytime conditions through next
   weekend will lead to worsening drought.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 154 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
A stretch of quiet weather will continue through the week as
persistent ridging remains in place overhead with 500 mb heights
forecast to hang out right around 590 dam.
925-850 mb temperatures today will be similar to Sunday`s which
will yield highs in the upper 80s/near 90 degrees for all but
our immediate lakeside locales where a midday and afternoon lake
breeze will hold temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. Deeper
east to northeast flow off the lake on Tuesday and Wednesday,
combined with a touch of column cooling will result in highs
moderating back a few degrees each day. Increased high-level
moisture will also likely result in a bit more of a cirrus
canopy Wednesday into Thursday.
By Friday and into the upcoming weekend, the sprawling surface
high will shift east across the Mid Atlantic (and eventually
offshore). A tightening pressure gradient will result in the
return of southerly breezes, particularly on Saturday and
Sunday. While the mid and upper-level flow will become more
active over the weekend, latest indications are that any upper
waves of note will remain displaced well to our north and west.
Combined with developing drought conditions, this should yield
little in the way of meaningful precipitation chances. Latest
guidance does suggest a low potential for decaying convection to
make a run at northern Illinois Saturday evening/overnight, but
chances appear no higher than 15-20 percent at this point.
Carlaw
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
Key messages for the 06Z TAF period:
*Shallow ground fog possible at GYY tonight into early Monday.
Expect light and variable winds until a lake breeze moves
across turning winds E to around 10 kt mid-afternoon Monday.
There is a signal for shallow ground fog to develop tonight
into early Monday, particularly at GYY. Some guidance wants to
bring BR into ORD, MDW, and DPA as well, but conceptually this
does not appear likely and VFR is anticipated through the night
at these sites.
Doom
&&
.LOT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
IN...None.
LM...None.
&&
$$
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NWS LOT Office Area Forecast Discussion