South, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

442
FXUS64 KOHX 261119
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
619 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 617 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
- Low rain chances across the Plateau Friday and this weekend.
  Areas west remain dry with warming temperatures.
- Overall dry weather into early next week with temperatures
  remaining above-normal.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday Night)
Issued at 1030 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
The cold front has completed its passage through Middle Tennessee
and temperatures have dropped a good 6 to 8 degrees with the
northerly wind. Very light showers linger across the Plateau
tonight that are fizzling out. Satellite shows most of Middle TN
is sitting under clear skies and further clearing is expected
across our east in the coming hours. Areas of dense fog will be
likely tonight, mainly on the Cumberland Plateau and in any
hollers.
A positively-tilted trough will swing its axis across the
southeast tomorrow, bringing low to medium rain chances around
20-40% mainly to areas east of I-65. An eventual cutoff low
developing within this trough will the meander over our east as we
head into the weekend. The only influence this feature will have
on our weather will be an increase in cloud cover across, you
guessed it, our eastern counties. It`s shaping up to be a pleasant
weekend overall with mostly dry conditions and temperatures
gradually warming each day as ridging builds in from the west.
Temperatures will be in the mid to upper 80s with overnight lows
in the mid 50s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Friday)
Issued at 1030 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Moving into next week, the most notable feature is a tropical
disturbance that is currently brewing near the Bahamas.
Deterministic models currently favor this low`s path to eventually
track into the east coast. At this point, the NBM is only
yielding low PoP around 20% during the Tuesday-Thursday
timeframe. It`s a ways out and there`s still plenty of
uncertainty, but the additional moisture could bring showers and,
in turn, temperatures back to near normal values, in the low to
mid 80s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 617 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Patchy dense (IFR/LIFR conditions) will lift over the next 1-2
hours with VFR conditions returning for most. Low cigs will linger
until 17z over the Plateau. Then we will see VFR conditions for
the remainder of the TAF period with quiet conditions. There is a
low chance for afternoon showers over the Plateau. Light northerly
winds under 7 knots.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      82  60  84  59 /  10   0   0   0
Clarksville    82  57  84  57 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     75  58  74  55 /  40  10  30   0
Columbia       80  58  82  56 /  20   0   0   0
Cookeville     77  58  77  56 /  30  10  10   0
Jamestown      75  58  75  55 /  30  10  20   0
Lawrenceburg   78  58  81  55 /  20  10   0   0
Murfreesboro   80  59  82  57 /  20  10   0   0
Waverly        80  57  82  55 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Baggett
LONG TERM....Baggett
AVIATION.....Mueller

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion