423 FXUS63 KGRR 120538 AFDGRRArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 138 AM EDT Fri Sep 12 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Chance of Rain Saturday
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 137 AM EDT Fri Sep 12 2025
- Chance of Rain Saturday
Overall dry pattern continues into next week with only a chance of showers Saturday morning. Convection forms on the nose of a LLJ across Wisconsin late Friday night and translates southeast across Lower Michigan Saturday morning while slowly dissipating as the LLJ weakens. QPF and POPs are lowered a bit from yesterday. Instability and shear profiles suggest thunder chances are isolated at best.
The majority of the next several days will see sfc high pressure edging down from Canada with dry north or northeast flow. Gulf moisture remains effectively cut off into next week. It may be the end of next week before the next chance of any rain appears.
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.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 137 AM EDT Fri Sep 12 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through Friday night except for some shallow ground fog overnight at JXN. Winds will be light and variable overnight then go southwest AOB 10 knots this afternoon.
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.MARINE... Issued at 137 AM EDT Fri Sep 12 2025
Winds and waves will be light into next week. Lake breezes in the afternoon will see southwest winds AOB 10 knots, otherwise light offshore flow can be expected.
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.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...None. MARINE...None.
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DISCUSSION...Ostuno AVIATION...Ostuno MARINE...Ostuno
NWS GRR Office Area Forecast Discussion