560 FXUS63 KARX 200814 AFDARXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service La Crosse WI 314 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Storm chances linger in central Wisconsin through much of today. More widespread precipitation chances (20-50%) this afternoon/evening.
- Precipitation and storm chances mostly abate overnight and return Sunday.
- Storm chances continue Monday with concerns for strong storms affecting the central CONUS.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 235 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
Shower & Storm Chances Today:
Ongoing storms early this morning are expected to linger in central Wisconsin through the morning hours as the center of cyclonic rotation over central Iowa on morning GOES water vapor imagery slowly phases east-northeast, persisting low level frontogenesis. Peak low level trough amplification later today brings higher precipitation potential locally into Wisconsin counties through the evening hours. Additional preciptiation chances spread northeast along the nose of increased low level theta e lobe through central Iowa later this morning into the afternoon. Therefore, while a mostly dry morning is expected, widespread, low to moderate (20-60%) precipitation chances return this afternoon/evening. An additional 1" to 1.5" of accumulating rainfall will be possible primarily in central Wisconsin with a widespread
NWS ARX Office Area Forecast Discussion