Tanglewood, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

831
FXUS64 KEWX 140559
AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1259 AM CDT Sun Sep 14 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Above normal afternoon highs continue through the weekend into
  next week.
- Low end chances for showers and storms along the Rio Grande
  Sunday.
&&
.SHORT TERM (THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...
A mid-level trough over Utah will slide east Sunday, and with
weak southwest flow aloft over the Rio Grande Plains, some
afternoon showers and storms may develop in the mid to late
afternoon hours, but hi-res guidance is not particularly high on
coverage today, but any rain is appreciated over the drier
sections of the Rio Grande Plains. Temperatures will remain near
or above seasonal normals, with afternoon highs in the lower to
middle 90s. Late Sunday night into earl Monday, mid-level
ridging will start to work into the region, drying things back
out and resulting in afternoon highs again in the mid 90s.
&&
.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
Ridging will strengthen over the region on Tuesday, but quickly
weakens and gets shoved south and west on Wednesday as another
trough dives southeastward into the High Plains states. We may
get some increased clouds and low end rain chances out of this
system, but it looks to be too far north to affect our weather
too much. Nevertheless, will carry low end PoPs in the 20% range
Thursday and Friday for the possibility of precipitation in the
long term. Otherwise, warm and dry conditions are expected
through the long term forecast period.
&&
.AVIATION (06Z SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
Showers across western Val Verde county have weakened as some new
convection is noted well to the southwest of DRT. For the overnight
hours, we still expect to see MVFR cigs develop from SAT and SSF
westward to DRT. A few of the models show decreased potential for
MVFR clouds at SAT and SSF. However, based on persistence and
forecast soundings showing plenty of southeasterly flow and moisture
in the lowest 5k ft, we will continue MVFR for SAT and SSF. We have
left the forecast VFR at AUS and will continue to monitor. For this
afternoon, some convection may approach DRT from the west. With only
isolated coverage anticipated, we will not mention in the forecast
at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              73  95  71  94 /   0  10   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  70  94  69  94 /   0  10   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     70  95  68  95 /   0  10   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            70  91  68  90 /   0  10   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           74  94  72  93 /  10  10   0  10
Georgetown Muni Airport        71  93  69  93 /   0  10   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             70  94  67  93 /   0  10   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        70  96  68  95 /   0  10   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   70  94  67  94 /   0  10   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       73  94  71  94 /   0  10   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           73  95  71  96 /   0  10   0   0
&&
.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...MMM
LONG TERM...MMM
AVIATION...Platt

NWS EWX Office Area Forecast Discussion