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Tiki Island, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

721
FXUS64 KHGX 061706
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 1206 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1135 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

- Isolated showers and storms will be possible along the coast and in the Gulf waters through the next several days

- Hazardous marine conditions possible later in the week due to increasing winds

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1135 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

We continue on our stretch of rather benign weather days. An upper-level ridge of high pressure will build over Texas through this week keeping the region unseasonably warm and mostly rain- free. Cannot out-rule an isolated afternoon shower or thunderstorm, especially south of I-10, due to daytime heating and moisture moving in from the Gulf. Guidance continues to indicate a weak boundary sliding in from the north Thursday or Friday ushering in drier, slightly cooler conditions.

Afternoon high temperatures through Wednesday will be in the low to mid-90s with overnight lows in the low to mid-70s. Once that weak boundary moves through the region expected daytime highs to cool to the upper 80s to low 90s and overnight lows generally into the low to mid 60s.

&&

.AVIATION... (12Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 618 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

Outside of some patchy fog, most impactful at LBX, this forecast will feature the same pattern we`ve seen for several days. VFR should prevail with FEW-SCT clouds during the day and winds shifting from more northeasterly early to ESE/SE in the afternoon with the seabreeze. Winds should be slightly lower than the past couple days, more in the 5-10 knot range at peak. Seabreeze SHRA/TSRA coverage still too low to mention in any TAFs explicitly.

&&

.MARINE... Issued at 1135 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

Light onshore flow and low seas will continue through Wednesday. An increase in the onshore winds, to around 15-20kt with higher gusts, will begin as early as Wednesday night and persist through Friday. This increase in winds will likely also increase wave heights to 4-6ft in the coastal waters, and an increase in water- levels in the Bays and immediate coast. There will continue to be a daily chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms through this week.

Fowler

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 70 93 71 91 / 10 20 0 10 Houston (IAH) 74 93 74 93 / 0 10 0 10 Galveston (GLS) 78 87 77 88 / 0 10 0 10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. &&

$$

DISCUSSION...Fowler AVIATION...Luchs MARINE...Fowler

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion

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