Utica, Kentucky Weather Forecast Discussion

228
FXUS63 KPAH 261107
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
607 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Seasonable temperatures can be expected through Saturday
  night, then readings will warm to several degrees above normal
  for Sunday and early next week.
- A tropical system over the southeast U.S. late next week could
  bring chances of rain back to our area, but the forecast
  through next Thursday is dry for now.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1255 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Surface ridging with the return of an upper level omega blocking
pattern should result in dry weather through the next several
days. Highs will work into the low 80s.
Our  remain quiet until mid week when tropical cyclone activity
is progged to potentially approach the Carolinas. This pinches
up our blocking pattern enough to result in some increasing
moisture from the east. The column still looks a little too dry
for rainfall chances for now. A backdoor front then works into
the area by Thursday that looks to scour moisture further. Of
note we still have a fairly unusual dual- tropical cyclone
forecast in the GFS/ECMWF, those cyclones are impacting the
upper air pattern and if the actual intensity ends up being
different than modeled, which is likely, then more substantial
changes in the medium range forecast is possible.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 607 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Patchy ground fog should mix out quickly this morning leading to
VFR conditions through the day. Prevailing VFR is anticipated
overnight tonight with some prospects again of patchy ground fog
in the pre-dawn hours.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...JGG
AVIATION...JGG

NWS PAH Office Area Forecast Discussion