Vanleer, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

787
FXUS64 KOHX 171135
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
635 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 631 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
- A few isolated showers and storms tonight, but most of Middle TN
  will be rain-free. Patchy dense fog is likely overnight in
  areas that received rain.
- Afternoon highs remain a few degrees above normal this week with
  temperatures in the 80s to mid 90s.
- Low rain chances (15-30%) over the weekend into early next week,
  with a slight decreasing trend in temperatures.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday Night)
Issued at 1042 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
If you got rain today, it`s pretty steamy out there. The 00Z balloon
launch revealed a stark temperature inversion just off the surface,
so we could certainly see some fog tonight. Best chances for
areas of patchy dense fog development will be over areas that
received rain today which includes a large chunk of the northeast
quadrant of our CWA. Do still see some clouds over the area that
are pushing off of the low to our east, but assuming those clear
out, watch out for fog overnight.
Our winds will shift out of the northeast by late Wednesday
morning, ushering in drier air, and thus limiting rain/storm
chances tomorrow. More of the same can be expected Thursday with
temperatures ever so slightly higher as the ridge aloft continues
its push east.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1042 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
Friday will be our hottest day this week as the ridge moves directly
overhead with widespread afternoon temperatures in the mid 90s east
of the Plateau (mid to upper 80s there). It still looks like Friday,
although hot, will be dry most of the day, so hopefully evening
ballgames can commence without interruptions from the weather. It
is worth noting that some models are showing rain/shower chances
picking up Friday night as troughing from the midwest builds in,
but will have a better idea once we are in viewing range of
higher-res models. With the trough moving in, lower heights are
currently off to our north, meaning Saturday will still likely be
hot and mostly dry, but with an increase in cloud cover and
perhaps some showers. Euro ensembles are currently giving a 50%
chance of at least a hundredth of an inch of rain, mainly across
the western half of the CWA. The trough will dip lower into the
area Sunday, bringing a low 20% of rain and storms with
temperatures just a few degrees cooler in the upper 80s. Moving
into next week, troughing will remain the dominant synoptic
feature that influences our weather. This will help to slightly
regulate temperatures back into the mid to upper 80s and also
provide more opportunities for rain. Low rain chances between 15%
to 20% are in the forecast each day beyond Saturday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 631 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
Patchy fog is dissipating this morning across Middle TN. VFR
conditions prevail with few/scattered mid to high level clouds.
Chances of showers and thunderstorms are very low over the next
24 hours. Winds remain light through the TAF period. For this
evening, not expecting any widespread fog to develop through the
overnight.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      92  64  93  65 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    94  62  95  63 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     81  56  83  58 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       91  62  92  63 /  10  10   0   0
Cookeville     84  59  86  61 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      82  58  85  59 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   89  62  90  62 /  10  10   0   0
Murfreesboro   91  61  92  63 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        92  64  93  65 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Baggett
LONG TERM....Baggett
AVIATION.....Cravens

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion