Waters Bluff, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

958
FXUS64 KSHV 241605
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1105 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
...New DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1127 PM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025
- Lingering showers and thunderstorms will diminish in coverage
   and intensity through the remainder of today into this
   evening.
- Much cooler temperatures expected through the weekend with
   overnight lows in the mid 50s to the lower to middle 60s each
   night.
- From Thursday onward, dry conditions expected areawide.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1032 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Surface frontal boundary currently across northeast Texas and
southeast Oklahoma to linger across the region today. Continued rain
chances expected as the 850 mb trough translates east across the
region. Conditions to gradually improve late this afternoon into
the evening as the upper-trough and cold front exit the region to
the east.
Front to linger across the Mississippi River into southeast
Louisiana on Thursday into Thursday night with a few showers and
isolated thunderstorms possible across north Louisiana and south
Arkansas during the day into the early evening hours. Otherwise,
dry conditions to prevail elsewhere.
Upper-trough responsible for ongoing convection to deepen into a
closed low which will linger across the Ohio River Valley
providing northwest flow areawide through the weekend into early
next week resulting in dry conditions each day.
A break in the heat is expected through the weekend into early
next week as a cooler surface airmass becomes established across
the ArkLaTex. Temperatures to range from highs in the mid 80s to
lows in the mid to upper 50s north to the low to mid 60s across
east Texas and north Louisiana each day. /05/
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 727 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
For the 24/12 TAF period...A line of showers and thunderstorms
developed across SW Arkansas overnight ahead of a cool front and
is currently located at the Louisiana border. Ahead of it,
isolated to scattered showers have developed closer to the I-20
corridor. We should see more convection develop during the mid to
late morning hours and gradually shift southward along the slow moving
cool front. This will bring reduced flight categories to our
sites. Winds will shift to the north behind the front, with skies
gradually lifting towards the end of the period. /20/
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1032 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  83  69  85  65 /  80  20  10  10
MLU  86  69  86  65 /  90  50  20  10
DEQ  82  62  81  59 /  30   0  10   0
TXK  83  65  84  63 /  60   0  10   0
ELD  82  63  83  60 /  90  20  20   0
TYR  81  65  83  63 /  80  10   0   0
GGG  82  65  83  63 /  80  10   0   0
LFK  89  67  87  64 /  90  40  10   0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...20

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion