Welch, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

636
FXUS64 KMAF 291838
AFDMAF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
138 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 136 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
- Showers and storms decay heading into tonight.
- Warmer temperatures and dry weather conditions return Tuesday
  through the upcoming weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday night)
Issued at 136 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
Upper level trough continues to swing through the area through
tonight and ejects to the east over the course of Tuesday. Upper
level ridge strengthens and moves in from northern Mexico. While
temperatures today are on track to stay moderated by clouds and
light rain, highs move up about 3-6 degrees areawide into the 80s
for most tomorrow afternoon. The low desert along the Rio Grande
sees temperatures jump into the low to mid 90s. Rain chances fall
towards zero as the aforementioned ridge moves overhead. Overnight
lows settle into the upper 50s to 60s for many. This ends up
being near or just above normal for the end of September and into
early October.
-Stickney
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 136 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
For the long term forecast, the upper level ridge hangs on through
the rest of the week. From Wednesday through to this weekend,
temperatures reach into the upper 80s to low 90s for much of the
region. This translates to most daytime highs being about 5-10
degrees above average. While these temperatures are not too close to
record high territory, precautions should still be taken to prevent
heat related illnesses. Lows reach into the low to mid 60s for most
as overnight temperatures gradually increase through the week. Drier
air in combination with the overhead ridge keeps rain chances
low(

NWS MAF Office Area Forecast Discussion