Wortham, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

411
FXUS64 KFWD 290509
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1209 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
...New Short Term, Long Term, Aviation...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Thick high cloud cover will continue to spread across the region
  today. No precipitation is expected.
- Quiet weather will continue through next weekend with near to
  slightly above normal temperatures.
&&
.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Overnight through Monday Night/
A period of quiet weather will continue to start out the work week
but water vapor imagery shows an upstream trough that will
eventually spread into West Texas later today. This upper trough
will be accompanied by fairly strong mid level forcing for ascent
as it overspreads North Texas this evening. We`ll see another
round of thick high cloud cover across the region today with skies
becoming mostly cloudy this afternoon and evening which should
hold temperatures down a few degrees. With ample mid and upper
level moisture and the amount of lift expected later this evening,
we`ll likely see some radar returns across parts of Central and
North Texas late today and tonight. This would normally be
concerning for the potential of high based convection, but a lack
of MUCAPE within the zone of ascent and a very dry sub cloud layer
should allow any precipitation to evaporate before reaching the
ground. Extensive cloud cover will keep overnight lows Monday
night up a few degrees with readings in the mid/upper 60s.
Dunn
&&
.LONG TERM... /NEW/
/Tuesday through Sunday/
The upper trough will continue to push eastward on Tuesday
allowing mid level ridging to nudge back into the Southern Plains
through the end of the week. This will keep things quiet across
North Texas with temperatures climbing back into the upper 80s and
low 90s Wednesday through Saturday. A broad area of high pressure
over the eastern CONUS next weekend may allow a deeper southerly
flow to become established which would pull some Gulf moisture
northward into the region. While rain chances will remain near
zero this week, we`ll likely see some slight increase as we head
into next week.
Dunn
&&
.AVIATION... /NEW/
/6Z TAFs/
VFR will prevail through the period with a light east-northeast
flow continuing less than 10 kt. We`ll see an increase in high
cloud cover again today as a disturbance swings into the Southern
Plains this evening. Light radar returns are expected across the
region this evening, however precipitation should evaporate before
hitting the ground. There could be some increased turbulence
beneath any areas of precipitation that develop through tonight.
Otherwise, no significant aviation concerns are expected.
Dunn
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    67  87  69  89  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                62  87  67  89  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               62  86  66  86  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Denton              61  86  64  88  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            62  87  65  88  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              67  88  71  89  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             62  87  66  88  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           65  89  68  89  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              61  87  64  89  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       61  87  64  89  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion