313 FXUS64 KLIX 152329 AFDLIXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 629 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Wednesday night) Issued at 1249 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
Things will remain quiet through midweek as high pressure aloft remains in control of the area weather. Expect overnight lows to be near to slightly warmer than normal, with warmer than normal afternoon temperatures, and no significant rain chances.
While subsidence aloft will suppress most convection, a couple stray showers will be possible during the late afternoon so will continue to carry silent 10 POPs each afternoon across much of the area.
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.LONG TERM... (Thursday through Sunday) Issued at 1249 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
Going into the latter part of the work week, an upper trough/low will begin to move into the upper Mississippi valley. Best instability and rain chances will remain well north of the local area, but it should help allow a few more showers to develop each afternoon. Coverage currently looks isolated at best, but it`s better than nothing, right?
Anyway, other than the small uptick in rain chances, forecast continues to be generally persistence from the short term with lows in the upper 60s to mid 70s and highs in the low to mid 90s daily.
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.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 626 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
All terminals remain in VFR will do so through the night and likely most of the forecast. The only possible impact will be convection tomorrow afternoon and that is a small chance. The terminals that have the greatest risk of seeing a storm are BTR and MCB. /CAB/
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.MARINE... Issued at 1249 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
Continued benign conditions can be expected across the waters as weak high pressure remains in control through the first half of the work week. Winds will be fairly light with a general easterly component over the waters. The inner waters, sounds, and tidal lakes will continue to be influenced by daily fluctuations from sea/lake breeze to land breeze. Waves and seas will generally be in the 1-2 ft for nearshore and protected waters with 2-4 ft in the outer waters.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MCB 69 90 68 90 / 0 10 0 10 BTR 71 93 70 92 / 0 10 0 10 ASD 67 90 66 89 / 0 0 0 0 MSY 74 92 73 92 / 0 0 0 0 GPT 70 89 69 89 / 0 0 0 0 PQL 66 90 65 90 / 0 0 0 0
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.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. GM...None. MS...None. GM...None. &&
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SHORT TERM...DM LONG TERM....DM AVIATION...CAB MARINE...DM
NWS LIX Office Area Forecast Discussion